Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 148.094270 173.017801 202.711270 241.239976 290.737142 3.533831e+02 4.406924e+02
2025-02-16 115.273935 145.301587 185.306424 244.472648 333.503345 4.695920e+02 7.100804e+02
2025-02-23 97.475260 128.787986 173.587125 245.977169 368.147324 5.849729e+02 1.058298e+03
2025-03-02 86.233650 118.102322 166.300455 249.993782 405.848359 7.233192e+02 1.584936e+03
2025-03-09 77.794271 109.658411 160.082534 253.126921 442.160633 8.808484e+02 2.380953e+03
2025-03-16 69.597041 100.165140 150.167578 246.748037 456.790835 9.999429e+02 3.302259e+03
2025-03-23 65.875596 97.167109 150.421692 259.221594 517.325503 1.290605e+03 5.875255e+03
2025-03-30 59.675986 89.235943 140.679022 249.233016 520.461078 1.412483e+03 8.177727e+03
2025-04-06 55.973753 85.083247 137.126537 251.406155 556.332526 1.692396e+03 1.435771e+04
2025-04-13 52.401000 80.739873 132.557901 250.259907 582.945876 1.975043e+03 2.605787e+04
2025-04-20 50.803784 79.703126 134.165665 263.746781 661.203450 2.646588e+03 8.925059e+04
2025-04-27 50.311920 80.590929 139.700766 288.376957 793.648177 4.023991e+03 2.442408e+06
2025-05-04 46.877263 75.921348 133.699608 283.511281 823.243280 4.853301e+03 NaN
2025-05-11 44.450548 72.981701 131.092789 287.706081 896.967206 6.589096e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 42.136205 70.006603 127.953295 289.594290 964.642511 8.915170e+03 NaN
2025-05-25 40.271761 67.724258 126.025928 294.636398 1055.288221 1.297767e+04 NaN
2025-06-01 38.522241 65.496564 123.902434 298.574611 1147.463155 1.944978e+04 NaN
2025-06-08 36.279879 62.064023 118.504747 290.561404 1164.130524 2.446641e+04 NaN
2025-06-15 35.475975 61.533147 119.997234 306.248158 1356.001068 5.316432e+04 NaN
2025-06-22 33.360168 58.069400 113.864587 293.680830 1336.306651 6.432549e+04 NaN
2025-06-29 32.134063 56.406274 112.050555 296.411129 1442.289283 1.264717e+05 NaN
2025-07-06 30.821621 54.456775 109.285922 294.970730 1516.503593 2.524951e+05 NaN
2025-07-13 30.354985 54.302021 111.127808 311.956495 1794.501362 3.085112e+06 NaN